{"id":21133,"plugin_id":"plugins_6aac006819508191a02506fb32a88714","kind":"skill","collection_source":null,"comparison_source":null,"observed_at":"2026-09-30T23:16:49.156Z","digest":"4556b3338ee4e590dd7525bd632b763ee9240582ab7756e0941666002d41d3a3","against":null,"payload":{"name":"decision-backtest-simulator","description":"Backtest a current CIO decision against prior decision memory, assumptions, weak evidence and follow-up quality. Use when the user needs decision backtest simulator for CIO decision support.","included_files":[{"relative_path":"agents/openai.yaml","size_in_bytes":143}],"skill_md_contents":"---\nname: decision-backtest-simulator\ndescription: Backtest a current CIO decision against prior decision memory, assumptions, weak evidence and follow-up quality. Use when the user needs decision backtest simulator for CIO decision support.\n---\n\n# Decision Backtest Simulator\n\n## Mission\n\nChallenge current decisions with lessons from prior decisions before leadership commits again.\n\n## Inputs\n\nAccept decision packets, memory exports, prior decision logs, action registers, meeting notes, risk chains and current context.\n\n## Workflow\n\n1. Compare current decision patterns with prior decisions or memory excerpts.\n2. Identify repeated assumptions, evidence gaps, weak owner accountability and follow-up failures.\n3. Draft backtest lessons and challenge questions.\n4. Mark which lessons are memory-backed versus synthetic heuristics.\n5. Recommend stronger gates before approval.\n\n## Output Format\n\n- Executive Summary\n- Backtest Available\n- Pattern Matches\n- Synthetic Backtest\n- Lessons to Check\n- Stronger Gates\n- Evidence & Assumptions\n\n## Guardrails\n\nDo not claim prediction accuracy. Treat backtests as challenge material for human review.\n"},"changes":[],"summary":"First saved snapshot. No earlier version is available for comparison.","summary_kind":"deterministic","summary_metadata":{}}