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Quantum Expectations

Matthias Wulff v0.8.1

Reality-check quantum claims

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From the developer

Declared capabilities

  • Check whether a computation is realistic on today's quantum hardware
  • Test the claims in a paper, press release, roadmap or headline against today's hardware numbers
  • See how much better the hardware must get before a given computation works

Declared limitations

  • Running a circuit. The plugin estimates feasibility from a noise model and published hardware data; it has no access to quantum hardware or a simulator and cannot execute circuits or return measurement results. No tool should be called; the assistant should say the plugin only estimates and, if useful, offer a feasibility estimate for the circuit's size instead.
  • Investment advice. The plugin computes hardware feasibility numbers and holds no market, company-financial or valuation data, and its hardware rows are representative devices, not a ranking of vendors. It can check a company's technical claims against the record data when asked, but it never picks stocks. No tool should be called; the assistant answers without it or declines to give investment advice of any kind.
  • Conceptual tutoring with no numbers to compute. The question asks for an explanation the model can give directly; no circuit, error rate, qubit count or record lookup is involved, so no tool should be called.

Not specified in the available declarations: pricing & account requirements.

Onboarding example

What is the state of quantum computing hardware today, and how fast is it improving?

View onboarding source →

Sources & dates

Developer declarations; not independently tested. Listing last checked Nov 10, 2026. Package observed Nov 9, 2026.

View package source →

Description

From the marketplace listing

See for yourself what today's quantum computers can actually do, and how far they are from the applications in the headlines. You do not need to be a physicist: ask in plain language, and the plugin runs the numbers on real hardware records, each one taken from a published source. Is it realistic yet? Paste a paper, a press release, a roadmap or a headline and compare its claims with today's hardware, or describe a computation or pick one of the example algorithms and see how likely today's best hardware is to get it right, with and without error correction. What would it take? See how much better the hardware would have to get, and how many physical qubits and how much run time a well-known goal such as breaking RSA-2048 needs once error correction is included. How fast is progress? Compare trapped-ion, superconducting and neutral-atom hardware side by side, follow the record error rates and qubit counts over the years, and see when the trend would reach a target if it held (an extrapolation, not a forecast). The answers to the first two questions show their assumptions and caveats, and every hardware record links to the paper or vendor publication it comes from. The plugin gives you numbers, not verdicts: what they mean for quantum computing stays your judgement. For experts, the same tools take exact inputs: qubit count, circuit depth, per-gate error rate, surface-code distance, qLDPC codes, and logical qubits with T count for full fault-tolerant footprints (Litinski cost model). Limitations: this is a deliberately simplified model. It treats noise with the standard surface-code approximation and a routing allowance for hardware with fixed connections, and leaves out effects such as leakage, crosstalk, measurement errors, single-qubit gate errors and idling. Where a measured benchmark score and the model disagree, the measurement wins. All tools are read-only and take no personal data.

Language: English · Automatically detected from descriptions.

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Changes

No changes recorded yet. Follow this plugin to keep track of future changes.

First seen Nov 9, 2026. Last seen Nov 10, 2026.

Keywords

Files & skills

File archives

Plugin package6 files · 11 KBBrowse files →
Skill instructions
get-started1.86 KB

View saved version →

---
name: get-started
description: First-run guide for Quantum Expectations. Use right after the plugin is installed, or when the user asks what the plugin can do or how to start. Offers three starting questions and runs the first one the user picks with the plugin's tools.
---

Introduce the plugin in two sentences, in plain language: it helps the user judge for themselves what today's quantum computers can actually do, and its results come with the assumptions, caveats and sources the tools return. Assume no physics background unless the user shows one.

Offer the user three ways to start and ask which one fits:

1. Is it realistic yet? Paste a paper, a press release, a roadmap or a headline and compare its claims with today's hardware, or check one computation on today's hardware: its size (qubits), its length (depth), and a hardware type or a per-gate error rate. For a document, pull out its quantitative claims and test them with the tools; report what the numbers show, not a verdict on the claim, a judgement of the company or an investment view.
2. What would it take? Give a computation and the success rate you need, and get the error rate the hardware would need and whether any current hardware reaches it. For a well-known goal such as breaking RSA-2048, size the full error-corrected machine in physical qubits and run time.
3. How fast is progress? Compare the hardware types side by side, or follow the record error rates and qubit counts over time.

If the user has no computation in mind, list the current reference hardware or the example algorithms with the plugin's tools first so they have real numbers to start from. Explain a technical term the first time it comes up.

Run the option they choose with the plugin's tools. Report the numbers the tools return, keep the caveats and source links that come with them, and do not add a verdict the tools did not compute.

Release notes

Initial listing: thirteen read-only tools, three prompts, output schemas on every structured tool.

Declared in the saved package. Remote tools may change independently.

Package details

Publisher declarations from the archived package. These are separate from our research and the live service's terms.

Package author
Matthias Wulff
Keywords
See keywords
Getting started skill
./skills/get-started/SKILL.md
Commerce declaration
Does not support commerceThis does not establish whether access is free or paid.
Review scenarios
5 positive · 3 negativeScenario counts, not test results.

Declared capabilities

  • Check whether a computation is realistic on today's quantum hardware
  • Test the claims in a paper, press release, roadmap or headline against today's hardware numbers
  • See how much better the hardware must get before a given computation works
  • Size well-known goals, such as breaking RSA-2048, in physical qubits and run time
  • Compare trapped-ion, superconducting and neutral-atom hardware side by side
  • Follow record error rates and qubit counts over time, and project when a target is reached
  • Explore example algorithms, error-correction codes and measured hardware benchmark scores
  • Assumptions and caveats with feasibility and requirement answers, a primary source for every hardware record

Package observed Nov 9, 2026.

plugin.json
Technical details
First seen
Nov 9, 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Last seen
Nov 10, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Collection status
Collected

plugin_asdk_app_6adf9b7e45f88191bd7d8eeda8055807

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