Update to Aivana CIO Decision Twin

{
  "name": "risk-chain-forecast",
  "description": "Forecast the next likely escalation in a risk chain if owners, evidence, controls or decisions remain unresolved. Use when the user needs risk chain forecast for CIO decision support.",
  "included_files": [
    {
      "relative_path": "agents/openai.yaml",
      "size_in_bytes": 135
    }
  ],
  "skill_md_contents": "---\nname: risk-chain-forecast\ndescription: Forecast the next likely escalation in a risk chain if owners, evidence, controls or decisions remain unresolved. Use when the user needs risk chain forecast for CIO decision support.\n---\n\n# Risk Chain Forecast\n\n## Mission\n\nMove from current risk description to likely next escalation and prevention action.\n\n## Inputs\n\nAccept risk registers, incidents, project updates, security findings, audit gaps, customer-impact notes and dependency maps.\n\n## Workflow\n\n1. Identify current signal, dependency, amplifier and business impact.\n2. Forecast the next escalation if no action occurs.\n3. Define trigger conditions and early-warning indicators.\n4. Recommend prevention, containment and escalation actions.\n5. Mark confidence and missing evidence.\n\n## Output Format\n\n- Executive Summary\n- Risk Chain Forecast\n- Next Escalation\n- Triggers\n- Preventive Actions\n- Owners\n- Evidence & Assumptions\n\n## Guardrails\n\nForecasts are directional decision-support heuristics, not predictive guarantees.\n"
}