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skills/merger-model-builder/references/deep/qa-checks
4.56 KB · Oct 2, 2026 · 00:27 UTC
# QA Checks Checks should be machine-computed where possible and surfaced in both `run_log.json` and `model.xlsx`. ## Hard failures Hard failures make the model `not-decision-ready`. - Sources and uses do not balance. - Consideration mix does not sum to 100% unless explicitly overridden. - Stock consideration is used but PF shares cannot be calculated. - PF EPS cannot be calculated. - Accretion/dilution sensitivity directionality fails. - Purchase accounting bridge cannot reconcile. - Required source categories are missing for material transaction terms. - Tax rates are outside a defensible 0-100% range. - Shares, debt, cash, fees, or fair values are impossible or negative where they must be non-negative. - Required scenarios `base`, `downside`, or `upside` are missing. ## Warnings Warnings lower confidence but may still allow `screen-grade` or `senior-review-ready` status. - Placeholder, assumption, estimate, or unsupported evidence labels are used for material inputs. - Synergies are unsupported or treated as immediate run-rate capture. - Integration costs are zero or excluded from adjusted EPS without clear basis. - One-time transaction costs are excluded from adjusted EPS; show GAAP and adjusted views separately. - Tax, amortization, or DTL assumptions are missing or fully model-derived. - Share price and share-count source dates conflict materially. - Financing terms are placeholders or not tied to a commitment. - Purchase accounting is preliminary or within measurement-period status. - Revenue synergies drive most of the value. - Deal is accretive only after synergies. - Deal is accretive only on adjusted EPS, not GAAP EPS. - Large intangible amortization add-back drives adjusted EPS. - Target cash available for funding may be restricted or operationally required. ## Presentation And Readiness Checks - The first visible tab separately labels `Calculation integrity` and `Decision readiness`; a later checks tab alone does not satisfy this requirement. - An `adjusted_eps_screen` states that adjusted EPS is presented while GAAP accretion/dilution is not, and lists PPA, post-close denominator and refinancing gaps needed to upgrade the analysis. - Do not call a model-derived synergy benefit `disclosed` or an implied cost-to-achieve amount `disclosed`. Distinguish disclosed gross run-rate synergies, disclosed pretax net synergies when provided, disclosed or clearly labeled implied cost-to-achieve, and modeled tax effects / after-tax contribution. - An adjusted-EPS screen shows sensitivity for synergy realization and cost-to-achieve overrun or delayed capture, plus EPS breakeven against the selected pretax net synergy basis. - Calculation-integrity checks reconcile modeled after-tax synergy benefit to pretax net synergy basis times one minus the modeled tax rate, reconcile the 100% synergy-realization sensitivity to the base synergy-case adjusted EPS output, and confirm EPS breakeven is the pretax net synergy required to eliminate no-synergy dilution. - Do not rely on an "EPS with synergies is no worse than without synergies" comparison as the principal synergy calculation-integrity check; it is directionally expected and does not prove the bridge is correct. - For fixed-ratio all-stock deals, share-price sensitivity is not required for ownership or EPS denominator mechanics unless the analysis includes purchase price, fair value, PPA, collar or variable-stock exposure. - GAAP accretion/dilution appears only when PPA/amortization, integration-cost treatment, financing effects and denominator support are complete enough for the stated posture. - Render and inspect the first visible tab, ownership, EPS bridge, synergies, sensitivities and checks/readiness sheets before delivery. ## Senior red flags Surface these in the report when relevant: - The model shows EPS accretion but the source of accretion is mainly leverage, tax, amortization add-backs, or share issuance math. - Synergy breakeven is close to or above management's announced synergy case. - Downside case becomes dilutive or loses meaningful ownership/control credibility. - The purchase accounting bridge produces unusually high goodwill relative to consideration. - Financing fees, lost interest, or target debt refinancing are omitted. - Integration costs are excluded from all decision metrics. - NOLs, tax basis step-up, contingent consideration, CVRs, or replacement awards are ignored despite deal relevance. - Industry-specific metrics are missing: TBV earnback for banks, FFO/AFFO for REITs, ARR/churn/deferred revenue for SaaS, statutory capital for insurance, reserves/PV-10 for E&P, pipeline milestones for biotech.
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