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skills/us-stock-gamma-moomoo/references/option-scenario-tables.md
2.12 KB · Oct 4, 2026 · 12:33 UTC
# Option Scenario Tables Reference Use this when the user owns or asks about a specific short-dated option, especially SPXW 0DTE. ## Required Inputs - Option code, strike, call/put, expiry. - Current option bid, ask, last, IV, delta, gamma, theta, vega if available. - Current underlying anchor. For SPXW, prefer SPX cash; otherwise use ES/CFD/SPY conversion and disclose it. - User's option cost and contract count when they ask about break-even or recovery. ## Table Rules - Build a scenario table with time on the horizontal axis and underlying price on the vertical axis. - Use the user's requested or established timezone; otherwise state the selected timezone. - Use 30-minute steps for 0DTE during the final 4 hours; use 1-hour steps when farther from expiry. - Price with Black-Scholes using the current IV as the base case. - Include intrinsic value at expiry so the user sees where the option goes to zero and where it becomes pure intrinsic. - Warn that IV crush/expansion and bid-ask slippage can make real fills worse or better. Compute the table in an actually available execution environment; label model assumptions and actual input timestamps. ## Interpreting Calls - Below strike: theta decay dominates unless price moves fast. - Near strike: gamma is high, price can double or halve quickly. - Above strike: intrinsic value dominates, but a pullback below strike can erase premium late in the day. ## Interpreting Puts - Above strike: theta decay dominates unless price falls fast. - Near strike: gamma is high and risk changes quickly. - Below strike: intrinsic value dominates, but a rebound above strike can erase premium late in the day. ## Recovery Math - Do not expose the user's account size or deposit/transfer amount. - Translate recovery into option price points. For SPX options, 1.00 option point is usually `$100` per contract before FX/fees. - Example wording: "with 2 contracts, every 1.00 option point is about $200 before FX/fees; to recover X JPY at USDJPY Y, the option needs about Z points more." - Use the table for decision framing: "needs SPX to reach 7380 before 03:00 JST" is actionable; "will profit" is too strong.
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