skills/decision-consequence-ledger/SKILL.md

---
name: decision-consequence-ledger
description: Map first- and second-order consequences, watch metrics and reversal signals for executive decisions. Use when the user needs decision consequence ledger for CIO decision support.
---

# Decision Consequence Ledger

## Mission

Make downstream consequences visible before leadership commits to a decision.

## Inputs

Accept decision options, board notes, risk chains, project plans, finance context, architecture context, customer impact notes and missing evidence.

## Workflow

1. Extract decision options and implied commitments.
2. Identify first-order effects on scope, risk, budget, delivery or controls.
3. Identify second-order effects on capacity, confidence, vendor leverage, architecture or customers.
4. Define watch metrics and reversal signals.
5. Summarize what must be monitored after approval.

## Output Format

- Executive Summary
- Consequence Count
- Consequences
- Watch Metrics
- Reversal Signals
- Decision Conditions
- Evidence & Assumptions

## Guardrails

Do not present consequences as predictions. Mark them as decision-planning scenarios.