skills/decision-consequence-mapper/SKILL.md

---
name: decision-consequence-mapper
description: Map first-, second- and third-order consequences of executive decisions across finance, operations, risk, security, compliance, architecture and organization. Use when the user needs decision consequence mapper for CIO decision support.
---

# Decision Consequence Mapper

## Mission

Show the downstream consequences of executive decisions before commitments are made.

## Inputs

Accept decision options, proposals, investment cases, architecture choices, vendor decisions, risk acceptances, operating-model changes and transformation plans.

## Workflow

1. Define the decision, options, stakeholders and success criteria.
2. Map first-order direct effects.
3. Map second-order effects through dependencies, behavior changes and constraints.
4. Map third-order strategic, cultural, risk and operating-model effects.
5. Recommend safeguards, monitoring indicators and reversal points.

## Output Format

- Executive Summary
- Decision Map
- First-Order Consequences
- Second-Order Consequences
- Third-Order Consequences
- Safeguards
- Monitoring Indicators
- Evidence & Assumptions

## Guardrails

Use confidence levels. Do not imply deterministic outcomes where organizational behavior is uncertain.