skills/bigdata-country-analysis/assets/report-template.md

# Country economic analysis — report template

Follow this structure. Keep the section order. Where a table or section has no data, write "Not available" rather than dropping it. Add inline citations `[1]`, `[2]` immediately after claims, hyperlinked to the document URL.

---

```markdown
# Country Economic Analysis: [Country]
Report Date: [Date]

## Executive Summary
[3-4 sentence overview]

## Economic Snapshot

### Key Indicators
| Indicator | Current | Previous | Trend | Context |
|-----------|---------|----------|-------|---------|
| GDP Growth (YoY) | X.X% | X.X% | ↑/↓/→ | [vs peers] |
| Inflation (CPI YoY) | X.X% | X.X% | ↑/↓/→ | [vs target] |
| Unemployment | X.X% | X.X% | ↑/↓/→ | [context] |
| Policy Rate | X.X% | X.X% | [last action] | [outlook] |
| Tax to GDP | X.X% | X.X% | ↑/↓/→ | [vs peers / target] |

### Economic Health Assessment
| Dimension | Rating | Commentary |
|-----------|--------|------------|
| Growth Momentum | Strong/Moderate/Weak | [Brief] |
| Inflation | Contained/Elevated/Concerning | [Brief] |
| Labor Market | Tight/Balanced/Slack | [Brief] |
| Fiscal Position | Solid/Manageable/Stretched | [Brief] |

### Structural & Historical Context (include for analytical depth)
- **Sector transformation**: [e.g. agriculture → industry/services over 2–3 decades; cite time range and key shifts]
- **Labor productivity by sector**: [comparison across sectors, e.g. agriculture vs industry vs services; cite levels or growth rates where available]
- **Structural narrative**: [2–4 sentences on how the economy has evolved and what it implies for outlook]

### Debt & Fiscal Mechanics (include for depth)
- **Tax to GDP ratio**: [level and trend; comparison to peers or IMF/OECD benchmarks; revenue mobilization targets if cited]
- **Debt composition**: [domestic vs external share; maturity/currency mix if available]
- **Debt servicing**: [interest burden, weighted average rate if available; crowding-out or rollover risk]
- **PFM / budget**: [key PFM reforms, budget execution, revenue performance; tax-to-GDP or targets if cited]

### Labor Market (substantive; avoid one-line "macro good, micro bad")
- **Macro**: [aggregate unemployment/employment, participation]
- **Micro / structural**: [informality, underemployment, youth unemployment, sectoral gaps, real wages vs productivity]
- **Summary**: [1–2 sentences tying macro and micro to outlook]

## Monetary Policy Outlook

### Current Stance
- **Rate**: X.X%
- **Last Action**: [Hike/Cut/Hold] on [Date]
- **Guidance**: [Summary]

### Rate Path Expectations
| Timeframe | Expected | Commentary |
|-----------|----------|------------|
| Next meeting | | |
| Year-end | | |

## Key Economic Events to Watch
| Date | Event | Why It Matters |
|------|-------|----------------|

## Market Implications

### Equity
- **YTD**: +/-X.X%
- **Valuation**: Premium/Fair/Discount
- **Opportunities**: [Sectors]

### Fixed Income
- **10Y Yield**: X.X%
- **Curve**: Steep/Flat/Inverted
- **View**: Extend/Neutral/Shorten

### Currency
- **vs USD**: [Level]
- **YTD**: +/-X.X%
- **Outlook**: Bullish/Neutral/Bearish

### FDI Trajectory
- **Recent trend**: [inflows/outflows, YoY or latest data; greenfield vs M&A if available]
- **By sector or source**: [key sectors or origin countries if relevant]
- **Outlook**: [catalyst or headwind; policy or competitiveness driver]

## Investment Thesis
**Bull Case**: [Points]
**Bear Case**: [Points]
**Positioning**: [Recommendation]

## Key Risks
1. [Risk]: [Description and triggers]

## Policy Recommendations (dedicated section — required)
Provide a **dedicated policy recommendations section**, not just scattered mentions. Structure by pillar and cite specific targets or mechanisms where available.

### Fiscal consolidation
- [Concrete measures: revenue vs expenditure; tax-to-GDP or revenue targets if cited (e.g. 16–18%); base broadening, spending prioritization]

### Debt management
- [Strategy for domestic vs external; maturity/refinancing; cost reduction or reprofiling; any stated targets]

### Monetary policy
- [Stance consistency with inflation target; communication; financial stability considerations]

### Structural reforms
- [Sector-specific (e.g. agriculture, industry); PFM/budget execution; business environment; demographic dividend or youth/labor policies if relevant]

*Cite sources (e.g. IMF, World Bank, national authorities) for each recommendation where applicable.*

## Sources
| # | Source | Date | URL |
|---|--------|------|-----|

---
**Powered by Bigdata.com** - https://bigdata.com

## Disclaimer

This output is for informational and research-assistance purposes only. It does **not** constitute investment, legal, tax, accounting, or other professional advice, and it is **not** a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or instrument or to pursue any strategy. Information may be incomplete, estimated, delayed, or inaccurate. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Verify material facts independently and consult qualified advisors before making decisions.
```

---

## Footer rule

The **Powered by Bigdata.com** line and the **Disclaimer** block above are mandatory and must be reproduced **verbatim**, after the Sources section, in every user-facing deliverable.